Matt KierstedFITTED MODEL

D · MIN · NHL

5.0

Projection

0.6

Floor (p10)

11.2

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

4.5

Avg (last 8)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-19	@ CBJ	8.2	0	0	-
2025-12-17	vs WSH	9.5	1	3	-
2025-12-13	vs OTT	2.8	0	1	-
2026-04-15	vs ANA	9.5	0	0	-
2026-04-14	@ STL	0.0	0	0	-
2026-01-06	@ LA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-04-15	@ TB	5.0	1	0	-
2025-04-06	@ DET	1.3	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts