Patrick GilesFITTED MODEL

W · SJ · NHL

3.1

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

10.2

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

56%

Bust (0.6x)

2.0

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-11-03	vs DET	6.3	1	0	-
2025-11-01	vs COL	3.0	0	2	-
2025-10-31	vs NJ	1.3	0	0	-
2024-10-28	@ BUF	3.0	0	2	-
2024-10-26	@ NYI	0.0	0	0	-
2024-10-24	@ NYR	1.3	0	0	-
2024-10-22	vs MIN	0.0	0	0	-
2024-10-19	vs VGK	2.8	0	1	-
2024-10-17	vs VAN	0.0	0	0	-
2024-10-15	@ CBJ	1.5	0	1	-
2024-10-14	@ BOS	0.0	0	0	-
2024-10-12	@ BUF	2.6	0	0	-
2024-10-02	@ TB	4.3	0	2	-
2025-03-30	vs NYR	3.0	0	2	-
2025-03-28	vs TOR	1.5	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts