Luca CagnoniFITTED MODEL

D · SJ · NHL

3.5

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

9.2

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

49%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 12)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-10-04	@ VGK	1.5	0	1	-
2026-04-17	@ WPG	1.5	0	1	-
2026-04-16	@ CHI	4.3	0	2	-
2026-04-14	@ NSH	4.1	0	1	-
2024-10-06	@ VGK	9.3	1	2	-
2024-10-02	vs UTAH	3.0	0	2	-
2025-04-15	@ VAN	6.3	1	0	-
2025-03-31	@ LA	11.2	0	2	-
2025-03-30	vs NYR	4.1	0	1	-
2025-03-28	vs TOR	3.0	0	2	-
2025-03-23	vs BOS	6.5	1	1	-
2025-03-21	vs CAR	4.1	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts