Michael KesselringFITTED MODEL

D · BUF · NHL

4.3

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

10.0

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	@ STL	1.5	1	-
2025-12-28	vs BOS	13.1	5	-
2025-12-24	@ OTT	5.6	2	-
2025-12-22	@ NJ	7.1	3	-
2025-12-20	vs NYI	9.9	2	-
2025-12-19	vs PHI	6.9	0	-
2025-11-16	@ DET	0.0	0	-
2025-11-14	@ COL	0.0	0	-
2025-11-13	@ UTA	3.0	2	-
2025-11-09	@ CAR	1.3	0	-
2025-11-07	vs STL	4.3	2	-
2025-11-05	vs UTA	11.2	2	-
2025-11-01	vs WSH	1.3	0	-
2025-10-30	@ BOS	4.1	1	-
2025-10-28	vs CBJ	4.5	3	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts