Mattias EkholmFITTED MODEL

D · EDM · NHL

7.8

Projection

2.0

Floor (p10)

15.2

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

6.5

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	@ WPG	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-28	@ CGY	4.1	0	0	1	-
2025-12-24	vs CGY	8.4	0	0	1	-
2025-12-22	vs VGK	2.6	0	0	0	-
2025-12-20	@ MIN	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-19	@ BOS	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-17	@ PIT	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-15	@ MTL	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-14	@ TOR	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs DET	14.1	1	0	2	-
2025-12-10	vs BUF	10.8	0	1	3	-
2025-12-07	vs WPG	9.3	0	1	2	-
2025-12-05	vs SEA	10.0	0	2	0	-
2025-12-03	vs MIN	7.3	0	0	4	-
2025-11-29	@ SEA	6.5	0	1	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts