Matthew KesselFITTED MODEL

D · STL · NHL

3.4

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

9.1

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

49%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-12-18	vs WPG	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ OTT	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-02	vs ANA	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs UTA	1.3	0	0	-
2025-11-28	vs OTT	11.3	1	1	-
2025-11-22	@ NYI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-21	@ PHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-19	@ TOR	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-16	vs VGK	6.9	0	0	-
2025-11-15	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-12	vs CGY	12.8	1	2	-
2025-11-09	vs SEA	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-07	@ BUF	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-04	vs EDM	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-01	@ CBJ	1.5	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts