Nils HoglanderFITTED MODEL

W · VAN · NHL

2.5

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

9.6

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

58%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	@ SEA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	@ NYI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-17	@ NYR	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-14	@ NJ	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs BUF	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-09	vs DET	1.5	0	0	1	-
2026-04-17	@ EDM	0.0	0	0	0	-
2026-04-15	vs LA	8.0	0	1	2	-
2026-04-13	@ ANA	3.0	0	0	2	-
2026-04-12	@ SJ	1.5	0	0	1	-
2026-04-10	@ LA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2026-04-08	vs VGK	1.3	0	0	0	-
2026-04-02	@ COL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2026-03-31	@ VGK	2.8	0	0	1	-
2026-03-29	@ CGY	10.0	1	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts