Nikolaj EhlersFITTED MODEL

W · CAR · NHL

10.2

Projection

2.6

Floor (p10)

20.2

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

6.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ PIT	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-30	vs NYR	13.0	0	2	2	-
2025-12-28	vs DET	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	vs FLA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-21	@ TB	9.1	0	1	1	-
2025-12-20	@ FLA	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-18	@ NSH	7.8	0	1	1	-
2025-12-14	vs PHI	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-12	@ WSH	25.5	1	1	6	-
2025-12-10	vs CBJ	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-07	vs SJ	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-05	vs TOR	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs CGY	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-11-28	vs WPG	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-11-27	vs NYR	6.5	0	1	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts