Erik KarlssonFITTED MODEL

D · PIT · NHL

10.2

Projection

2.6

Floor (p10)

19.6

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

11.1

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs CAR	12.8	0	2	1	-
2025-12-29	@ CHI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-23	@ TOR	12.0	0	0	6	-
2025-12-22	vs MTL	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-21	@ MTL	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-19	@ OTT	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-17	vs EDM	19.3	1	1	3	-
2025-12-14	vs UTA	14.9	0	1	2	-
2025-12-13	vs SJ	12.3	0	1	4	-
2025-12-12	vs MTL	21.6	1	0	5	-
2025-12-10	vs ANA	21.8	0	2	5	-
2025-12-07	@ DAL	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-05	@ TB	17.0	0	1	6	-
2025-12-02	@ PHI	13.0	0	2	2	-
2025-11-30	vs TOR	4.3	0	0	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts