Ryan GravesFITTED MODEL

D · PIT · NHL

5.2

Projection

0.7

Floor (p10)

11.4

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

5.0

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	SOG	SV
2025-12-14	vs UTA	6.9	0	-
2025-12-13	vs SJ	5.6	2	-
2025-12-12	vs MTL	4.1	1	-
2025-12-10	vs ANA	5.6	2	-
2025-12-07	@ DAL	2.8	1	-
2025-12-05	@ TB	1.3	0	-
2025-12-02	@ PHI	3.0	2	-
2025-11-30	vs TOR	4.3	2	-
2025-11-29	@ CBJ	6.9	0	-
2025-11-27	vs BUF	2.6	0	-
2025-11-23	vs SEA	2.6	0	-
2025-11-22	vs MIN	1.3	0	-
2025-11-16	vs NSH	6.9	0	-
2025-11-14	@ NSH	8.4	1	-
2025-11-09	vs LA	13.1	5	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts