Sebastian AhoFITTED MODEL

C · CAR · NHL

10.4

Projection

1.0

Floor (p10)

22.2

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

8.8

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ PIT	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-30	vs NYR	17.8	1	1	2	-
2025-12-28	vs DET	5.0	0	1	0	-
2025-12-24	vs FLA	6.3	0	1	0	-
2025-12-21	@ TB	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	@ FLA	20.0	2	0	2	-
2025-12-18	@ NSH	32.3	2	1	4	-
2025-12-14	vs PHI	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-12	@ WSH	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-10	vs CBJ	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	vs SJ	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-05	vs TOR	8.0	0	1	2	-
2025-11-30	vs CGY	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-11-28	vs WPG	5.0	0	1	0	-
2025-11-27	vs NYR	16.0	0	2	4	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts