Michael McCarronFITTED MODEL

C · MIN · NHL

5.2

Projection

0.3

Floor (p10)

12.8

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

48%

Bust (0.6x)

4.6

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ VGK	6.5	1	1	-
2025-12-30	@ UTA	12.9	0	4	-
2025-12-28	@ STL	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-24	@ MIN	5.6	0	2	-
2025-12-22	vs NYR	3.0	0	2	-
2025-12-21	vs TOR	6.5	1	1	-
2025-12-18	vs CAR	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-16	@ STL	4.1	0	1	-
2025-12-14	@ COL	8.4	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs STL	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-10	vs COL	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-07	@ CAR	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-05	@ FLA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-30	vs WPG	3.0	0	2	-
2025-11-29	@ CHI	4.1	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts