Tommy NovakFITTED MODEL

C · PIT · NHL

6.1

Projection

0.1

Floor (p10)

14.6

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

8.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs CAR	17.8	1	1	2	-
2025-12-29	@ CHI	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-23	@ TOR	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-22	vs MTL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-21	@ MTL	7.3	0	0	4	-
2025-12-19	@ OTT	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-12-17	vs EDM	15.0	1	1	1	-
2025-12-14	vs UTA	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-13	vs SJ	5.6	0	0	2	-
2025-12-12	vs MTL	9.3	0	1	2	-
2025-12-10	vs ANA	20.5	1	0	6	-
2025-12-07	@ DAL	12.6	1	0	1	-
2025-12-05	@ TB	10.0	0	2	0	-
2025-12-02	@ PHI	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs TOR	3.0	0	0	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts