Alex OvechkinFITTED MODEL

W · WSH · NHL

10.3

Projection

2.7

Floor (p10)

20.3

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

9.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NYR	12.3	0	1	4	-
2025-12-30	@ FLA	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-28	@ NJ	18.0	1	1	3	-
2025-12-24	vs NYR	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-21	@ DET	10.5	0	0	5	-
2025-12-20	vs DET	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-19	vs TOR	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-17	@ MIN	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-14	@ WPG	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-12	vs CAR	10.8	0	1	3	-
2025-12-08	vs CBJ	10.5	0	0	5	-
2025-12-06	@ ANA	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-04	@ SJ	23.0	2	0	4	-
2025-12-03	@ LA	13.0	0	2	2	-
2025-11-30	@ NYI	16.5	1	1	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts