Justin SourdifFITTED MODEL

W · WSH · NHL

5.9

Projection

0.8

Floor (p10)

13.5

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

4.9

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NYR	21.3	2	0	2	-
2025-12-30	@ FLA	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-12-28	@ NJ	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	vs NYR	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-21	@ DET	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs DET	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-19	vs TOR	10.0	0	2	0	-
2025-12-17	@ MIN	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-14	@ WPG	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs CAR	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-08	vs CBJ	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-06	@ ANA	7.6	0	1	0	-
2025-12-03	@ LA	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-11-30	@ NYI	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-11-28	vs TOR	0.0	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts