Dawson MercerFITTED MODEL

C · NJ · NHL

7.3

Projection

1.3

Floor (p10)

15.8

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

6.5

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ TOR	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-28	vs WSH	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-24	@ NYI	9.3	0	1	2	-
2025-12-22	vs BUF	10.6	0	1	2	-
2025-12-20	@ UTA	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-18	@ VGK	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-14	vs VAN	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-13	vs ANA	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-12	vs TB	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-10	@ OTT	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ BOS	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-06	vs VGK	7.3	0	0	4	-
2025-12-04	vs DAL	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-02	vs CBJ	9.5	0	1	3	-
2025-11-30	vs PHI	24.0	1	1	5	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts