Matt RoyFITTED MODEL

D · WSH · NHL

6.2

Projection

1.1

Floor (p10)

12.7

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

7.3

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NYR	7.6	1	0	-
2025-12-30	@ FLA	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-28	@ NJ	7.1	0	3	-
2025-12-24	vs NYR	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-21	@ DET	8.4	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs DET	8.4	0	1	-
2025-12-19	vs TOR	4.1	0	1	-
2025-12-17	@ MIN	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-14	@ WPG	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-12	vs CAR	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-08	vs CBJ	9.9	0	2	-
2025-12-06	@ ANA	8.0	1	2	-
2025-12-04	@ SJ	29.2	3	2	-
2025-12-03	@ LA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-30	@ NYI	10.6	1	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts