Riley TufteFITTED MODEL

W · BOS · NHL

5.2

Projection

0.1

Floor (p10)

12.8

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

49%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-11-28	vs NYR	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-11-24	@ SJ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-11-22	@ LA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-18	vs CAR	13.0	1	0	3	-
2025-10-02	@ WSH	10.0	1	0	1	-
2024-11-16	vs STL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2024-10-17	@ COL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2024-10-10	vs MTL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-03-07	@ CAR	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-02-28	vs NYI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-02-23	vs ANA	1.3	0	0	0	-
2023-11-25	@ MIN	6.3	0	1	0	-
2023-11-23	vs VAN	12.8	1	0	2	-
2023-11-12	vs STL	0.0	0	0	0	-
2023-11-10	vs SEA	1.5	0	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts