Chris TanevFITTED MODEL

D · TOR · NHL

4.2

Projection

0.2

Floor (p10)

9.9

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

4.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-29	@ DET	9.7	0	1	-
2025-12-28	vs OTT	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-23	vs PIT	4.1	0	1	-
2025-11-01	@ PHI	5.0	1	0	-
2025-10-21	vs NJ	1.3	0	0	-
2025-10-18	vs SEA	5.8	0	3	-
2025-10-16	vs NYR	1.5	0	1	-
2025-10-14	vs NSH	2.8	0	1	-
2025-10-13	vs DET	1.3	0	0	-
2025-10-11	@ DET	6.3	1	0	-
2025-10-08	vs MTL	8.4	0	1	-
2025-10-02	vs DET	2.6	0	0	-
2024-12-31	vs NYI	14.7	1	1	-
2024-12-29	vs WSH	4.1	0	1	-
2024-12-28	@ DET	1.3	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts