Tyler ToffoliFITTED MODEL

C · SJ · NHL

8.2

Projection

0.8

Floor (p10)

18.4

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

42%

Bust (0.6x)

11.2

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs MIN	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-30	@ ANA	6.3	0	1	0	-
2025-12-28	@ VAN	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	@ VGK	11.5	0	2	1	-
2025-12-21	vs SEA	10.5	0	0	5	-
2025-12-19	vs DAL	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-17	vs CGY	21.8	1	0	6	-
2025-12-13	@ PIT	40.5	2	2	5	-
2025-12-12	@ TOR	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-10	@ PHI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ CAR	5.6	0	0	2	-
2025-12-06	@ DAL	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-04	vs WSH	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-02	vs UTA	40.5	2	2	5	-
2025-11-30	@ VGK	7.8	0	1	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts