Justin DanforthFITTED MODEL

W · BUF · NHL

2.3

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

9.4

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

3.2

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	SOG	SV
2025-10-15	vs OTT	1.3	0	-
2025-10-13	vs COL	0.0	0	-
2025-10-11	@ BOS	1.3	0	-
2025-10-09	vs NYR	5.6	2	-
2025-10-03	@ PIT	0.0	0	-
2025-10-01	vs PIT	5.8	3	-
2024-12-11	vs PHI	2.6	0	-
2024-12-08	@ WPG	9.5	0	-
2024-12-07	@ VAN	4.5	3	-
2024-12-06	@ EDM	1.5	1	-
2024-12-04	@ CGY	2.8	1	-
2024-12-01	@ CHI	1.5	1	-
2024-11-29	vs CGY	5.6	2	-
2024-11-28	vs MTL	4.1	1	-
2024-11-24	vs CAR	1.3	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts