Morgan RiellyFITTED MODEL

D · TOR · NHL

8.2

Projection

2.3

Floor (p10)

15.6

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

36%

Bust (0.6x)

8.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NJ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-29	@ DET	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-28	vs OTT	9.3	0	1	2	-
2025-12-23	vs PIT	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-22	@ DAL	15.5	0	1	5	-
2025-12-21	@ NSH	13.8	0	0	2	-
2025-12-19	@ WSH	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-17	vs CHI	11.2	0	0	2	-
2025-12-14	vs EDM	5.8	0	0	3	-
2025-12-12	vs SJ	11.9	0	1	0	-
2025-12-09	vs TB	14.3	1	0	3	-
2025-12-07	vs MTL	4.3	0	0	2	-
2025-12-05	@ CAR	10.6	0	1	2	-
2025-12-03	@ FLA	7.1	0	0	3	-
2025-11-30	@ PIT	12.6	0	2	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts