Charlie KolarFITTED MODEL

TE · LAC · NFL

1.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

60%

Bust (0.6x)

2.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ GB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs NE	2.8	18	1
2025 wk 15	@ CIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs PIT	2.9	19	1
2025 wk 13	vs CIN	2.7	17	1
2025 wk 12	vs NYJ	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ MIN	3.3	23	1
2025 wk 9	@ MIA	10.3	23	2
2025 wk 8	vs CHI	8.0	10	1
2025 wk 6	vs LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 5	vs HOU	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 3	vs DET	4.2	22	2
2024 wk 12	@ LAC	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 11	@ PIT	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts