Drew OgletreeFITTED MODEL

TE · IND · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

63%

Bust (0.6x)

1.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	vs SF	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 14	@ JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs HOU	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 12	@ KC	8.8	8	2
2025 wk 10	vs ATL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 9	@ PIT	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 8	vs TEN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 7	@ LAC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	@ LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	vs DEN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	vs MIA	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs JAX	3.1	21	1
2024 wk 16	vs TEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 13	@ NE	3.2	22	1
2024 wk 12	vs DET	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts