Xavier SmithFITTED MODEL

WR · LAR · NFL

1.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

62%

Bust (0.6x)

2.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs ARI	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 17	@ ATL	10.7	67	4
2025 wk 16	@ SEA	7.7	57	2
2025 wk 15	vs DET	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	@ ARI	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 13	@ CAR	11.2	82	3
2025 wk 11	vs SEA	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 10	@ SF	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 9	vs NO	3.2	12	2
2025 wk 7	@ JAX	3.5	15	2
2025 wk 6	@ BAL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 5	vs SF	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs IND	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 3	@ PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ TEN	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts