Lucas KrullFITTED MODEL

TE · DEN · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

63%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 3	@ LAC	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 1	vs TEN	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 17	@ CIN	1.3	3	1
2024 wk 16	@ LAC	5.1	21	3
2024 wk 15	vs IND	2.8	8	2
2024 wk 13	vs CLE	5.4	24	3
2024 wk 10	@ KC	4.1	21	2
2024 wk 9	@ BAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 8	vs CAR	3.8	18	2
2024 wk 7	@ NO	7.1	41	3
2024 wk 6	vs LAC	3.1	11	2
2024 wk 5	vs LV	1.5	5	1
2023 wk 18	@ LV	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 17	vs LAC	3.4	14	2
2023 wk 16	vs NE	12.8	28	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts