Jonnu SmithFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

6.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

4.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs BAL	1.4	2	2	1
2025 wk 17	@ CLE	7.7	9	18	5
2025 wk 16	@ DET	2.8	28	0	0
2025 wk 15	vs MIA	10.6	14	12	2
2025 wk 14	@ BAL	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs BUF	1.6	0	6	1
2025 wk 12	@ CHI	5.8	7	21	3
2025 wk 11	vs CIN	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ LAC	1.4	0	4	1
2025 wk 9	vs IND	5.5	0	25	3
2025 wk 8	vs GB	3.7	0	17	2
2025 wk 7	@ CIN	11.8	0	28	3
2025 wk 6	vs CLE	5.8	10	18	3
2025 wk 4	vs MIN	2.6	0	6	2
2025 wk 3	@ NE	5.3	0	23	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts