Greg DulcichFITTED MODEL

TE · MIA · NFL

6.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

5.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ NE	6.1	0	31	3
2025 wk 17	vs TB	16.1	-7	58	5
2025 wk 16	vs CIN	5.6	0	46	3
2025 wk 15	@ PIT	6.6	0	46	2
2025 wk 14	@ NYJ	7.1	0	41	3
2025 wk 13	vs NO	4.4	0	24	2
2025 wk 11	vs WAS	3.8	0	18	2
2025 wk 10	vs BUF	3.2	0	22	1
2025 wk 9	vs BAL	9.9	0	49	5
2024 wk 15	vs BAL	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 4	@ NYJ	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 2	vs PIT	4.6	0	16	3
2024 wk 1	@ SEA	3.2	0	12	2
2023 wk 6	@ KC	1.3	0	3	1
2023 wk 1	vs LV	4.2	0	22	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts