Josh DownsFITTED MODEL

WR · IND · NFL

9.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

9.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ HOU	9.6	-5	61	4
2025 wk 17	vs JAX	5.4	0	34	2
2025 wk 16	vs SF	11.8	3	65	5
2025 wk 15	@ SEA	10.3	0	13	3
2025 wk 14	@ JAX	6.3	0	23	4
2025 wk 13	vs HOU	6.4	0	44	2
2025 wk 12	@ KC	3.0	0	10	2
2025 wk 10	vs ATL	1.3	0	3	1
2025 wk 9	@ PIT	17.7	0	57	6
2025 wk 8	vs TEN	12.9	0	39	3
2025 wk 6	vs ARI	16.2	0	42	6
2025 wk 5	vs LV	11.4	0	54	6
2025 wk 4	@ LAR	6.4	0	24	4
2025 wk 3	@ TEN	5.4	0	34	2
2025 wk 2	vs DEN	11.1	0	51	6

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts