Chris ConleyFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

1.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

61%

Bust (0.6x)

2.4

Avg (last 10)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 18	@ ARI	9.9	59	4
2024 wk 17	vs DET	2.3	13	1
2024 wk 13	@ BUF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 12	@ GB	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 8	vs DAL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 7	vs KC	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 4	vs NE	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 3	@ LAR	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 2	@ MIN	1.4	4	1
2023 wk 18	vs LAR	9.9	69	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts