Christian KirkFITTED MODEL

WR · SF · NFL

5.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

5.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs IND	0.7	-3	1
2025 wk 17	@ LAC	2.1	1	2
2025 wk 16	vs LV	6.7	37	3
2025 wk 14	@ KC	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 12	vs BUF	16.4	54	5
2025 wk 11	@ TEN	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 10	vs JAX	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	6.6	26	4
2025 wk 5	@ BAL	10.4	64	4
2025 wk 4	vs TEN	5.0	20	3
2025 wk 3	@ JAX	5.5	25	3
2024 wk 8	vs GB	7.9	59	2
2024 wk 7	vs NE	3.4	24	1
2024 wk 6	@ CHI	6.9	39	3
2024 wk 5	vs IND	12.8	88	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts