Charlie WoernerFITTED MODEL

TE · ATL · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

63%

Bust (0.6x)

1.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	@ ARI	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 15	@ TB	3.2	12	2
2025 wk 12	@ NO	5.4	24	3
2025 wk 10	@ IND	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 7	@ SF	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 3	@ CAR	0.5	-5	1
2024 wk 18	vs CAR	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ WAS	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 16	vs NYG	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ LV	2.7	7	2
2024 wk 14	@ MIN	2.1	11	1
2024 wk 13	vs LAC	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 10	@ NO	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 9	vs DAL	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts