David MooreFITTED MODEL

WR · CAR · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

65%

Bust (0.6x)

5.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 4	@ NE	1.2	12	0	0
2025 wk 3	vs ATL	1.5	0	5	1
2025 wk 1	@ JAX	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ ATL	7.9	0	9	1
2024 wk 17	@ TB	2.7	0	17	1
2024 wk 16	vs ARI	11.9	0	39	2
2024 wk 15	vs DAL	3.9	0	19	2
2024 wk 14	@ PHI	4.5	0	25	2
2024 wk 13	vs TB	9.0	0	40	5
2024 wk 12	vs KC	20.1	0	81	6
2024 wk 10	vs NYG	3.8	0	18	2
2024 wk 9	vs NO	4.0	0	20	2
2024 wk 8	@ DEN	7.9	0	39	4
2024 wk 7	@ WAS	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 6	vs ATL	3.7	0	17	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts