Ross DwelleyFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

6.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

42%

Bust (0.6x)

0.6

Avg (last 10)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 14	vs DAL	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 13	vs GB	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 12	vs NYG	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ WAS	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	vs NYG	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 15	@ LV	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 11	@ DEN	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 3	vs KC	0.0	0	0
2023 wk 7	@ MIN	2.2	12	1
2023 wk 6	@ CLE	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts