Gabe DavisFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

4.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

48%

Bust (0.6x)

5.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	15.1	41	5
2025 wk 17	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	4.1	21	2
2025 wk 13	@ PIT	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	3.2	22	1
2025 wk 11	vs TB	7.0	40	3
2024 wk 11	@ DET	1.3	3	1
2024 wk 10	vs MIN	2.9	19	1
2024 wk 8	vs GB	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 7	vs NE	2.3	13	1
2024 wk 6	@ CHI	21.5	45	5
2024 wk 5	vs IND	4.8	38	3
2024 wk 4	@ HOU	0.8	-2	1
2024 wk 3	@ BUF	3.8	18	2
2024 wk 2	vs CLE	7.3	43	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts