Luke MusgraveFITTED MODEL

TE · GB · NFL

2.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	@ CHI	6.8	38	3
2025 wk 15	@ DEN	9.2	52	4
2025 wk 14	vs CHI	4.2	22	2
2025 wk 13	@ DET	3.3	23	1
2025 wk 12	vs MIN	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 11	@ NYG	0.9	-1	1
2025 wk 10	vs PHI	5.3	23	3
2025 wk 9	vs CAR	6.4	34	3
2025 wk 8	@ PIT	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 6	vs CIN	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 4	@ DAL	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 2	vs WAS	5.2	32	2
2025 wk 1	vs DET	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 18	vs CHI	2.9	19	1
2024 wk 17	@ MIN	1.4	4	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts