Dalton KincaidFITTED MODEL

TE · BUF · NFL

9.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

35%

Bust (0.6x)

9.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	7.8	48	3
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ NE	6.4	34	3
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	14.1	41	4
2025 wk 10	@ MIA	5.7	37	2
2025 wk 9	vs KC	22.1	101	6
2025 wk 8	@ CAR	3.3	23	1
2025 wk 5	vs NE	16.8	108	6
2025 wk 4	vs NO	9.8	28	1
2025 wk 3	vs MIA	17.6	66	5
2025 wk 2	@ NYJ	7.7	37	4
2025 wk 1	vs BAL	14.8	48	4
2024 wk 17	vs NYJ	4.4	24	2
2024 wk 16	vs NE	5.5	15	4
2024 wk 15	@ DET	9.3	53	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts