Brock PurdyFITTED MODEL

QB · SF · NFL

18.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

18.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs SEA	5.2	127	21
2025 wk 17	vs CHI	36.9	303	28
2025 wk 16	@ IND	30.9	295	11
2025 wk 15	vs TEN	26.2	295	44
2025 wk 13	@ CLE	17.1	168	4
2025 wk 12	vs CAR	7.3	193	16
2025 wk 11	@ ARI	19.3	200	-7
2025 wk 4	vs JAX	17.7	309	13
2025 wk 1	@ SEA	16.8	277	17
2024 wk 17	vs DET	30.3	377	12
2024 wk 16	@ MIA	21.1	313	26
2024 wk 15	vs LAR	4.0	142	3
2024 wk 14	vs CHI	22.1	325	11
2024 wk 13	@ BUF	2.2	94	4
2024 wk 11	vs SEA	18.4	159	40

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts