Arian SmithFITTED MODEL

WR · NYJ · NFL

0.2

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

32%

Boom (1.5x)

66%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ BUF	0.2	2	0	0
2025 wk 17	vs NE	1.5	0	5	1
2025 wk 16	@ NO	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ JAX	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 12	@ BAL	0.8	8	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs CLE	1.3	13	0	0
2025 wk 8	@ CIN	3.3	0	23	1
2025 wk 7	vs CAR	1.0	0	0	1
2025 wk 6	vs DEN	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 5	vs DAL	2.4	0	14	1
2025 wk 3	@ TB	2.2	0	2	2
2025 wk 2	vs BUF	0.8	-10	8	1
2025 wk 1	vs PIT	0.0	0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts