Nick VannettFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

0.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

31%

Boom (1.5x)

64%

Bust (0.6x)

3.8

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 18	vs HOU	4.6	26	2
2024 wk 17	@ JAX	7.8	8	1
2024 wk 15	vs CIN	1.7	7	1
2024 wk 14	vs JAX	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 13	@ WAS	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 12	@ HOU	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 11	vs MIN	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 9	vs NE	11.3	33	2
2024 wk 8	@ DET	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 7	@ BUF	6.5	25	4
2024 wk 3	vs GB	8.9	9	2
2024 wk 1	@ CHI	3.1	11	2
2023 wk 18	vs KC	1.3	3	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts