Foster MoreauFITTED MODEL

TE · HOU · NFL

1.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

4.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 16	vs NYJ	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 14	@ TB	2.6	16	1
2025 wk 13	@ MIA	3.3	13	2
2025 wk 12	vs ATL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	@ CAR	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 8	vs TB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 6	vs NE	1.9	9	1
2024 wk 18	@ TB	7.1	31	4
2024 wk 17	vs LV	13.7	47	3
2024 wk 16	@ GB	5.3	33	2
2024 wk 15	vs WAS	13.9	39	4
2024 wk 14	@ NYG	6.0	40	2
2024 wk 13	vs LAR	2.6	6	2
2024 wk 11	vs CLE	8.0	50	3
2024 wk 10	vs ATL	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts