Joshua DobbsFITTED MODEL

QB · · NFL

0.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

42%

Boom (1.5x)

58%

Bust (0.6x)

11.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs MIA	0.9	23	0
2025 wk 17	@ NYJ	1.1	30	-1
2025 wk 7	@ TEN	0.3	12	-2
2025 wk 4	vs CAR	-0.2	0	-2
2024 wk 18	@ ARI	22.7	326	17
2024 wk 17	vs DET	8.1	35	7
2023 wk 14	@ LV	4.6	63	21
2023 wk 12	vs CHI	4.5	185	11
2023 wk 11	@ DEN	16.9	221	21
2023 wk 10	vs NO	25.1	268	44
2023 wk 9	@ ATL	24.9	158	66
2023 wk 8	vs BAL	22.9	208	26
2023 wk 7	@ SEA	16.1	146	43
2023 wk 6	@ LAR	10.1	235	47
2023 wk 5	vs CIN	8.7	166	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts