Davis AllenFITTED MODEL

TE · LAR · NFL

1.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

4.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs ARI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	@ SEA	5.4	34	2
2025 wk 15	vs DET	4.6	16	3
2025 wk 14	@ ARI	4.1	21	2
2025 wk 13	@ CAR	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 12	vs TB	5.9	29	3
2025 wk 10	@ SF	8.8	8	2
2025 wk 9	vs NO	6.7	37	3
2025 wk 7	@ JAX	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 6	@ BAL	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 5	vs SF	4.4	24	2
2025 wk 4	vs IND	1.0	0	1
2025 wk 3	@ PHI	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 2	@ TEN	7.8	8	1
2025 wk 1	vs HOU	8.3	13	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts