Payne DurhamFITTED MODEL

TE · TB · NFL

1.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

59%

Bust (0.6x)

2.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs NO	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs ARI	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 10	vs NE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 5	@ SEA	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 4	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ HOU	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 1	@ ATL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs NO	9.6	16	2
2024 wk 17	vs CAR	11.6	36	2
2024 wk 16	@ DAL	7.9	29	5
2024 wk 14	vs LV	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 12	@ NYG	3.6	26	1
2024 wk 8	vs ATL	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 4	vs PHI	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts