Julian HillFITTED MODEL

TE · NE · NFL

2.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

2.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ NE	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 17	vs TB	2.6	16	1
2025 wk 15	@ PIT	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 13	vs NO	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs WAS	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 7	@ CLE	1.1	1	1
2025 wk 6	vs LAC	6.1	31	3
2025 wk 5	@ CAR	6.2	22	4
2025 wk 4	vs NYJ	2.9	19	1
2025 wk 3	@ BUF	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 1	@ IND	2.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ NYJ	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ CLE	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	vs SF	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 14	vs NYJ	2.4	14	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts