Adam TrautmanFITTED MODEL

TE · DEN · NFL

1.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

54%

Bust (0.6x)

3.2

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ KC	4.4	24	2
2025 wk 16	vs JAX	3.4	14	2
2025 wk 14	@ LV	3.7	17	2
2025 wk 13	@ WAS	7.7	47	3
2025 wk 11	vs KC	1.8	8	1
2025 wk 10	vs LV	1.2	2	1
2025 wk 9	@ HOU	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 8	vs DAL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 5	@ PHI	2.1	11	1
2025 wk 4	vs CIN	5.2	32	2
2025 wk 3	@ LAC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ IND	10.0	10	3
2025 wk 1	vs TEN	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 17	@ CIN	1.5	5	1
2024 wk 16	@ LAC	1.5	5	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts