Matthew StaffordFITTED MODEL

QB · LAR · NFL

15.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

21%

Bust (0.6x)

21.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs ARI	26.7	259	3
2025 wk 17	@ ATL	12.8	269	0
2025 wk 16	@ SEA	30.9	457	6
2025 wk 15	vs DET	20.9	368	2
2025 wk 14	@ ARI	23.2	281	0
2025 wk 13	@ CAR	11.6	243	-1
2025 wk 12	vs TB	22.9	273	0
2025 wk 11	vs SEA	13.2	130	0
2025 wk 10	@ SF	26.9	280	-3
2025 wk 9	vs NO	26.8	281	-4
2025 wk 7	@ JAX	27.4	182	1
2025 wk 6	@ BAL	9.3	181	1
2025 wk 5	vs SF	25.6	389	0
2025 wk 4	vs IND	27.4	375	4
2025 wk 3	@ PHI	13.8	196	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts