Adam ThielenFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

6.0

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs BAL	7.3	43	3
2025 wk 17	@ CLE	3.4	14	2
2025 wk 16	@ DET	8.9	49	4
2025 wk 15	vs MIA	1.7	7	1
2025 wk 14	@ BAL	1.4	4	1
2025 wk 12	@ GB	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs CHI	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 10	vs BAL	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 8	@ LAC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 7	vs PHI	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 4	@ PIT	3.1	11	2
2025 wk 3	vs CIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	vs ATL	4.6	26	2
2025 wk 1	@ CHI	2.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ ATL	9.4	44	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts