Dallas GoedertFITTED MODEL

TE · PHI · NFL

10.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

32%

Bust (0.6x)

12.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	@ BUF	9.8	8	3
2025 wk 16	@ WAS	12.2	32	3
2025 wk 15	vs LV	25.0	70	6
2025 wk 14	@ LAC	15.8	78	8
2025 wk 13	vs CHI	4.7	27	2
2025 wk 12	@ DAL	4.0	20	2
2025 wk 11	vs DET	4.4	24	2
2025 wk 10	@ GB	8.3	43	4
2025 wk 8	vs NYG	17.8	28	3
2025 wk 7	@ MIN	4.8	18	3
2025 wk 6	@ NYG	26.0	110	9
2025 wk 5	vs DEN	10.9	19	3
2025 wk 4	@ TB	19.7	37	4
2025 wk 3	vs LAR	10.3	33	1
2025 wk 1	vs DAL	11.4	44	7

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts