DJ MooreFITTED MODEL

WR · BUF · NFL

12.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

29%

Bust (0.6x)

10.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DET	2.1	0	0	11	1
2025 wk 17	@ SF	1.7	0	0	7	1
2025 wk 16	vs GB	21.9	0	12	97	5
2025 wk 15	vs CLE	22.9	0	0	69	4
2025 wk 14	@ GB	0.6	0	0	-4	1
2025 wk 13	@ PHI	4.7	0	10	17	2
2025 wk 12	vs PIT	23.4	0	0	64	5
2025 wk 11	@ MIN	3.1	0	3	18	1
2025 wk 10	vs NYG	0.0	0	0	0	0
2025 wk 9	@ CIN	23.0	2	17	72	4
2025 wk 8	@ BAL	11.6	0	3	73	4
2025 wk 7	vs NO	8.2	0	9	43	3
2025 wk 6	@ WAS	8.2	0	10	42	3
2025 wk 4	@ LV	7.8	0	0	38	4
2025 wk 3	vs DAL	12.8	0	7	21	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts